As widely anticipated, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has opted to keep interest rates steady.
Key Details:
- Current Interest Rate: 1.75%
- Forecast: 1.75%
- Previous: 1.75%
SNB Commentary:
- The SNB affirms its readiness to intervene in the foreign exchange market as deemed necessary.
- November witnessed a slight dip in Swiss inflation to 1.4%, primarily attributed to reduced inflation in goods and tourism services. However, expectations point to a rebound, driven by increased electricity prices, rising rents, and a VAT hike.
Inflation Projections:
- Projected average annual inflation for 2023: 2.1%
- 2024: 1.9%
- 2025: 1.6%
(Assuming the policy rate remains at 1.75%)
Global Economic Context:
Q3 experienced stronger-than-expected global economic growth, accompanied by a decline in inflation across many nations. Central banks responded by pausing further monetary policy tightening.
Challenges Ahead:
- Despite this, several countries are contemplating a restrictive monetary policy due to persistent inflationary pressures.
- The global and Swiss economic outlook remains subdued and marked by uncertainties.
Market Reaction:
Following the SNB decision, the Swiss franc exhibits signs of weakening. However, the changes are not deemed significant, with the EURCHF stabilizing around pre-announcement levels shortly after the decision.
Source: xStation 5
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